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Film Can Make Money

There is a fallacy in supply and demand theory that all remotely relevant supply will equally fulfill a particular demand. While the idea seems reasonable, it's not accurate. Let's take an example from film. This could apply to visual arts, music, or any business. It's just easy to find the numbers on film, see what goes on in the making of the product, and theorize about what led to a particular success or failure. There's an argument that so many movies come out each year that any particular movie has (statistically) a less-than-0.7% chance of being a box office success (the math usually checks out). Deadpool was considered a box-office success. It made $783.1M on its $58M budget. In Hollywood, making 2-4 times your budget is considered a success. Deadpool made more than 13 times its budget. It was a passion project from a 1st-time director. Now, that doesn't mean that passion projects will succeed or that movies have a better chance of succeeding...